But in the worst worst-case scenario, we don’t have any control. Instead, the station will crack through the atmosphere. Sure, many pieces will likely end up in the ocean, but some might hit people, possibly in a town or a city. The station could break apart across thousands of miles and multiple continents. This would be exceedingly hard to anticipate. As NASA puts it, “Calculating the probability of this penetration cascading into loss of deorbit capability has a very large range of variables, making predictions ineffective.”
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第五十三条 国务院有关部门、县级以上地方人民政府及其有关部门，违反本法规定，有下列情形之一，对负有责任的领导人员和直接责任人员依法给予处分：